Insights

Performance and market insights - July 2025

Market Insight
August 15, 2025

Performance summary

The CC Sage Capital Absolute Return Fund returned 1.58%(after fees) in July versus the RBA Cash Rate of 0.33%.*

The CC Sage Capital Equity Plus Fund returned 2.91% (after fees) in July, outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index by 0.55%.*

Contributors and detractors to performance

During July, the key contributors to portfolio performance were long positions in Sage Group^, Growth. Life360 (ASX: 360 +25%) continues to execute well and deliver strong subscriber and profit growth due to its significant and sustainable competitive advantage in location tracking. New initiatives by Life360 include pet tracking and monetising non-paying subscribers through ads which should underpin continued strong growth. Other strong performers were Block (ASX: XYZ +18%) which was supported by a resilient U.S. consumer and expectations of stronger demand for Cash App Money, while ResMed (ASX: RMD +8%) rallied on anticipation of a strong Q425 result. Sage Group, Yield was also a significant positive contributor to portfolio performance driven by a short positions in Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA -4%) and Suncorp Group (ASX: SUN -3%) which were weak mainly due to a general rotation out of financials.

On the negative side, Sage Group, Resources was the main detractor. A short position in Mineral Resources (ASX: MIN +33%) detracted from performance as it bounced harder than Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS +20%) where were main a long position, on the back of a rally in the lithium price due to a halt in production at a Chinese mine. Iluka (ASX: ILU +36%) was the strongest contributor in the group, although offset somewhat by a short position in Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC +22%) which are both key suppliers of rare earths outside of China and rallied post an announcement by the U.S. Department of Defense of a deal with MP Materials, a mining company, that introduced a floor price for rare earths. Another negative contributor was Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX: TLX-14%) which announced Q2 2025 revenue with strong volumes but cited pricing pressure. Sage Capital remains positive with Telix Pharmaceuticals and sees this as a short-term dynamic leading into the launch of their new higher priced product.

Market Review

The S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index returned 2.36% in July.

As news continued to flow surrounding the latest U.S. tariffs and trade deals, this led to driving further market fluctuations as the NASDAQ hit fresh highs on the back of strong earnings results and positive sentiment around AI. In Australia, the RBA surprised the market by holding the cash rate at 3.85%, but an interest rate cut is expected in August following inflation data moderating and the unemployment rate ticking up slightly.

Financials were weak with the rotation out of banks which began in June continuing into July with large cap miners benefiting, underpinned by a higher iron ore price. The PE ratio of the S&P/ASX 200index at 19x and the Industrials ex Financials at 25x are still well above historical averages with technology and retail particularly elevated. The market will be looking for robust earnings results from these sectors in the upcoming August reporting season to justify the lofty valuations. ​​​Read the fund reports for additional commentary.

​​​Read the monthly reports for additional commentary.

* Past performance is not indicative of future performance. ^ Sage Capital uses a custom grouping system for long short positions (Defensives, Domestic Cyclicals, Global Cyclicals, Gold, Growth, REITs, Resources and Yield). With a focus on the principal macro earnings drivers for each stock, Sage Groups allow for comparisons to GICS for selecting stocks within a sector.
This information is for professional and wholesale investors only and has been prepared by Sage Capital Pty Ltd ACN 632 839 877 AR No. 001276472 (‘Sage Capital’). Channel Investment Management Limited ACN 163 234 240 AFSL 439007 (‘CIML’) is the responsible entity and issuer of units in the CC Sage Capital Equity Plus Fund ARSN 634 148 913 and the CC Sage Capital Absolute Return Fund ARSN 634 149 287 (collectively ‘the Funds’). Channel Capital Pty Ltd ACN 162 591 568 AR No. 001274413 (‘Channel’) provides investment infrastructure services for Sage Capital and is the holding company of CIML. This information is supplied on the following conditions which are expressly accepted and agreed to by each interested party (‘Recipient’).

This information contains general financial product advice only and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. It is intended solely for wholesale clients (including sophisticated investors) as defined under sections 761G and 761GA of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth).

The information provided should not be considered personal advice, a recommendation, or an offer to invest in the Funds. Recipients should not rely on this information in making investment decisions. A Recipient should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information, and seek professional advice.

Neither Sage Capital, Channel, CIML or their representatives and respective employees or officers (collectively, ‘the Beneficiaries’) make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of this information or subsequently provided to the Recipient or its advisers by any of the Beneficiaries, including, without limitation, any historical financial information, the estimates and projections and any other financial information derived there from, and nothing contained in this information is, or shall be relied upon, as a promise or representation, whether as to the past or the future. All investments contain risk. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

For further information and before investing, please read the Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination which is available from www.channelcapital.com.au
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